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Challenge

  • A top US-based insurer was looking to increase sales from its direct mailing campaign for its automobile & home insurance products
  • Data was available for a past campaign that was run by the insurer
  • Extremely low actual sales rate (0.4%) was needed to be modeled

Approach

  • The project was delivered to the client in 6 weeks, with 2 ADT resources working closely with a industry expert from the client’s end
  • Bias sampling & jack-knifing allowed building a robust model even with few sales incidences
  • Access to industry expert made model more business intuitive & actionable
  • Externally purchased demographic data was added to the campaign data
  • Absolutdata team developed Logistic Regression based scoring model that ranked prospects in decreasing order of probability of sales
  • Low sales incidence rate was tackled by bias sampling of the data
  • Model was also validated on other independent campaigns data

Result

  • The model increased the conversion rate of direct marketing campagn by almost double as compared to previous random direct marketing campaigns
  • The model predicted an incremental life-time revenue of 10MM USD to the insurance company by mailing 1MM prospects
 
 
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